In Sunday’s Wager Good, we examined the logistics and psychology of the Heisman Trophy race and decided it’s too early to spend money on 15/2 favourite Spencer Rattler of Oklahoma. Right here’s a have a look at the opposite favorites and one longer shot who’s price a wager this summer season. Odds from BetMGM.
D.J. Uiagalelei (11/1)
A lot of the narrative about Rattler applies to the brand new Clemson QB, even right down to his identify, which these within the media will doubtless get pleasure from saying repeatedly. With no accidents, the Uiagalelei marketing campaign will encounter restricted impediments this season … however that doesn’t imply it’s best to bounce on any preseason bets.
One quantity is regarding on the subject of his Heisman probabilities, and that’s -900, the percentages BetMGM posted for the Tigers to win the ACC. So it once more seems Clemson will roll via the convention, run up scores, then sub out the quarterback throughout blowouts.
It’s one motive Trevor Lawrence’s Heisman probabilities have been tempered though the media narrative supported him being the perfect participant in school soccer.
Taking a look at Clemson’s schedule, the opening sport in opposition to Georgia ought to create some juice to his marketing campaign. Then comes a mediocre ACC schedule.
Bryce Younger (10/1)
Younger takes over at quarterback for the Crimson Tide and is already a prime candidate after enjoying a restricted function final 12 months.
I’m involved with Alabama fatigue for voters after final 12 months, and Younger’s present odds received’t assuage these emotions. Different Alabama gamers are making a Heisman hopeful crowd in Tuscaloosa: Jase McClellan (50/1), Brian Robinson Jr. (50/1) and John Metchie III (80/1).
A extra prudent strategy presently is to eradicate the subjectivity and put a few of your school soccer bankroll on the complete workforce at 5/2 to win the nationwide championship. This ticket will function a security internet all season and assist purchase a while to see who on this group is price a play individually.
So analyzing the large three: Rattler, Uiagalelei and Younger shouldn’t have any downside piling up media consideration and wins. The priority enjoying them is the percentages simply aren’t substantial sufficient for a preseason Heisman wager. Which means look down the board for worth.
Breece Corridor (40/1)
Corridor deserves summer season motion. Anticipate quite a few media shops to tackle the angle of Iowa State being “the subsequent huge factor” throughout the early levels of the season.
Regardless that Iowa State isn’t a traditional house to a Heisman candidate, the working again had essentially the most 2020 votes of any returning participant. That fairness makes a pleasant companion to those odds.
The season opener in opposition to Northern Iowa ought to instantly place Corridor within the trending-up class. Then comes a house sport in opposition to Iowa, so loads of nationally acknowledged school soccer consultants and insiders must be heading to Ames. Any Corridor wager must be positioned earlier than the manufacturing crews attain city and eat their first breaded pork tenderloin sandwiches.
An amazing outing by Corridor in opposition to the Hawkeyes on Sept. 11 will considerably scale back the present odds. If Iowa defensive coordinator Phil Parker prevents this from taking place, it received’t derail Corridor’s candidacy. Excessive-profile Large 12 video games in late October via mid-November might reignite Corridor’s probabilities.
If you’re going to place one Heisman wager at this juncture, think about Corridor based mostly on his output final 12 months, the rising curiosity in Iowa State and the attainable payday down the road.