Chargers vs. Chiefs player prop predictions, bets, picks tonight

Probably the most anticipated matchups of the season will kick off Thursday when the Chiefs play host to the Chargers in a rematch of two epic contests from final season. Most count on a fireworks present on this divisional duel, which may pay large dividends within the props market — although not each Over is sure to money.

Listed here are three of our favourite participant props at BetMGM:

Chargers vs. Chiefs participant props bets and picks

Patrick Mahomes Below 299.5 passing yards (-110)

Sure, I do know it may really feel scary to guess the Below on Mahomes’ passing prop, particularly after he torched the Cardinals’ protection for 360 yards. However the Kansas Metropolis quarterback isn’t in Arizona anymore, and he traditionally has struggled to interrupt by towards his division rival.

In seven video games towards the Chargers, the previous MVP has averaged simply 261 passing yards per recreation — the eighth-fewest towards any opponent in his six-year profession. He has managed 300 yards simply twice in these seven video games, which features a 302-yard effort in 2020, and he was held to 260 yards final yr in a Week 3 assembly at house.

The Chargers’ go protection was already supremely gifted earlier than they added elite pass-rusher Khalil Mack and star cornerback J.C. Jackson, who’s trending towards returning for the marquee matchup. If Jackson does play on Thursday, it’ll make an already lofty mark even more durable for Mahomes to hit towards the Chargers.

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Austin Ekeler Over 4.5 receptions (-110)

Few working backs are as dynamic within the passing recreation as Ekeler, who has averaged 5.1 catches per recreation over the past 4 seasons and caught 70 passes a yr in the past. He’ll probably be a key goal for Justin Herbert on this one, too, with prime extensive receiver Keenan Allen dominated out with a hamstring harm.

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Fortuitously, we have already got an concept of how Ekeler’s utilization may look with out Allen towards this Kansas Metropolis protection. When Allen missed the 2020 season finale in Arrowhead Stadium, Ekeler completed with a team-high six catches regardless of taking part in simply 43 % of his group’s offensive snaps. When these groups met in Kansas Metropolis a yr in the past, he as soon as once more snagged six receptions — certainly one of his eight video games final season with at the very least 5 catches.

Solely three defenses allowed extra receptions by opposing working backs final yr than the Chiefs, who surrendered 109 catches by 17 video games (6.4) and ceded 5 catches to Arizona working again James Conner final week, too. All of the indicators level to a different large receiving day for the Chargers’ do-it-all again.

Isiah Pacheco to attain a landing (+350)

For the entire expertise within the Chiefs’ backfield, it was the seventh-round choose Pacheco who led them in carries (12) and dashing yards (62) and scored the group’s lone dashing landing final week within the win over the Cardinals.

Sure, a lot of that manufacturing got here within the fourth quarter of that 44-21 blowout, nevertheless it’s not as if it was strictly mop-up obligation for Kansas Metropolis’s dynamic No. 3 again, who made waves in coaching camp and within the preseason. He logged two carries within the first half, too, and amassed 40 yards and a rating in his full drive because the lead again within the fourth quarter.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire remains to be the highest choice on this versatile Chiefs dashing assault, however I’d count on Pacheco to earn a couple of extra carries towards the Chargers’ suspect run distinction — particularly within the pink zone, the place Pacheco has the slight measurement benefit over his counterpart. That is clearly of venture, however at these odds, it’s value rolling the cube.